Thursday, October 31, 2013

3rd Assignment by Huipu Wang

Catholic Country
1. Mexico
Roman Catholic: 82.7%
Birth rate: 18.61 births/1,000 population
Age structure:
0-14 years: 27.4% (male 16,268,424/female 15,587,324)
15-24 years: 18.1% (male 10,566,890/female 10,421,798)
25-54 years: 40.7% (male 22,647,828/female 24,677,965)
55-64 years: 6.9% (male 3,703,316/female 4,337,956)
65 years and over: 6.9% (male 3,574,207/female 4,435,239) 
Literacy rate: 93.5%
Urban population:  78% of total population
Health expenditures: 6.4% of GDP 
GDP - per capita (PPP): $15,600

2.Spain
Roman Catholic: 94%
Birth rate: 10.14 births/1,000 population
Age structure:
0-14 years: 15.4% (male 3,747,028/female 3,531,247)
15-24 years: 9.7% (male 2,377,992/female 2,215,742)
25-54 years: 46.2% (male 11,141,726/female 10,749,877)
55-64 years: 11.3% (male 2,600,682/female 2,738,559)
65 years and over: 17.5% (male 3,514,051/female 4,753,638) (2013 est.)
Literacy rate: 97.7%
urban population: 77% of total population 
Health expenditures:9.6% of GDP
GDP-per capita: $31,100 

3. Italy
Christian: 80%
Birth rate: 8.94 births/1,000 population
Age structure:
0-14 years: 13.8% (male 4,335,746/female 4,148,249)
15-24 years: 9.9% (male 3,059,140/female 3,035,991)
25-54 years: 43.2% (male 13,133,733/female 13,416,626)
55-64 years: 12.3% (male 3,675,324/female 3,913,918)
65 years and over: 20.8% (male 5,454,283/female 7,309,287) (2013 est.)
Literacy rate: 99%
urban population: 68% of total population
Health expenditures:9.5% of GDP
GDP per capita: $30,600

4. Andorran
Roman Catholic :predominant
Birth rate: 8.88 births/1,000 population
Age structure:
0-14 years: 15.5% (male 6,779/female 6,471)
15-24 years: 9.1% (male 4,021/female 3,702)
25-54 years: 49.5% (male 21,744/female 20,492)
55-64 years: 12.1% (male 5,566/female 4,755)
65 years and over: 13.8% (male 5,918/female 5,845) (2013 est.)
Literacy rate:100%
urban population: 88% of total population
Health expenditures:7.2% of GDP
GDP per capita :$37,200

5. Paraguayan
Roman Catholic: 89.6%
Birth rate:16.95 births/1,000 population
Age structure:
0-14 years: 26.8% (male 903,578/female 873,079)
15-24 years: 20.8% (male 692,006/female 684,297)
25-54 years: 39% (male 1,294,037/female 1,290,376)
55-64 years: 6.9% (male 234,803/female 224,862)
65 years and over: 6.4% (male 198,529/female 227,685)
Literacy rate: 93.9%
urban population: 61% of total population
Health expenditures:9.7% of GDP
GDP  per capita :$6,200

6. Argentine
Roman Catholic 92%
Birth rate: 17.12 births/1,000 population
Age structure:
0-14 years: 25.1% (male 5,468,773/female 5,217,256)
15-24 years: 15.8% (male 3,436,816/female 3,296,788)
25-54 years: 38.8% (male 8,238,184/female 8,290,649)
55-64 years: 9.1% (male 1,871,644/female 1,990,790)
65 years and over: 11.3% (male 1,987,344/female 2,812,737) (2013 est.)
Literacy rate: 97.9%
Urban population: 92% of total population
Health expenditures:8.1% of GDP
GDP per capita :$18,400

Not Catholic
1.Russia
Christian: 2%
12.11 births/1,000 population
Age structure:
0-14 years: 16% (male 11,740,877/female 11,119,318)
15-24 years: 11.5% (male 8,401,971/female 8,045,363)
25-54 years: 45.9% (male 31,945,797/female 33,417,073)
55-64 years: 13.5% (male 8,177,300/female 11,009,712)
65 years and over: 13.1% (male 5,687,515/female 12,955,556) (2013 est.)
Literacy rate: 99.7%
Urban population: 73.8% of total population
Health expenditures:6.2% of GDP
GDP per capita :$18,000

2.Greenland
Evangelical Lutheran, traditional Inuit spiritual beliefs
Birth rate:14.57 births/1,000 population (2013 est.)
Age structure:
0-14 years: 21.6% (male 6,336/female 6,147)
15-24 years: 16.8% (male 4,919/female 4,774)
25-54 years: 42.8% (male 13,083/female 11,617)
55-64 years: 10.7% (male 3,517/female 2,649)
65 years and over: 8.1% (male 2,469/female 2,203) (2013 est.)
Literacy rate: 100%
Urban population: 84% of total population
GDP per capita : $37,400

3. Ethiopian
Ethiopian Orthodox 43.5%, Muslim 33.9%, Protestant 18.6%, traditional 2.6%, Catholic 0.7%, other 0.7% (2007 Census)
Birth rate:38.07 births/1,000 population (2013 est.)
Age structure:
0-14 years: 44.4% (male 20,858,061/female 20,813,460)
15-24 years: 19.9% (male 9,258,868/female 9,382,338)
25-54 years: 29.1% (male 13,576,787/female 13,704,595)
55-64 years: 3.9% (male 1,772,448/female 1,859,364)
65 years and over: 2.8% (male 1,197,519/female 1,453,585) (2013 est.)
Literacy rate: 39%
Urban population:17% of total population
Health expenditures:4.7% of GDP
GDP per capita :$1,200

Conclusion:
Does Catholic prohibition really have an influence on birth control use (reflected in a high birth rate) or do other factors appear to play a greater role in birth rate (poverty, education, infant mortality rate, short average lifespan, etc.)? Though there is a technologically conservative prohibition against birth control among Catholic populations, does this prohibition really exist in behavior?

In the assignment, we’re asked to figure out the potential relationship between Catholicism and the birth rate. Materials of 9 countries ranging from both catholic and non-catholic showed that there is no concrete correlation between belief and birthrate. Country with high Catholicism rate like Argentine may have the same high birth rate compared to lower Catholicism country like Mexico. Birth rate of these two country are over 15 birth/ 1,000 population. Meanwhile, using contrastive analysis, it could easily found much more critical factors including age structure, education, health care and economy. From the statistic mentioned before, It’s obvious the age structures have remarkable impacts on birth rate. Countries with highest rates in young age section like Ethiopian and Mexico have the highest birth rate. On the contrary, Italy has the biggest proportion of people over 40 year old, and thus its birth rate is only 8.94 birth/1000 population. Moreover, literacy rate also reflects the status of a country’s education. Countries with low education could have higher birth rate, whereas there is no clear correlation between education and birth rate when literacy rate is higher than 80%. Ethiopian has the lowest literacy rate (39%), and correspondingly it has the highest birth rate of 38%. Furthermore, health expenditure, to some extent, reflects the development of a country’s welfare system. Parents are likely to have more kids in poor welfare system because they face more risks of losing their child and jobs. From the statistics, it’s clear that countries with low health expenditure like Ethiopian (4.7 of GDP )and Mexico (6.4 of GDP) have the highest birth rate, while other countries have relatively low birthrate. But there is no logical correlation existing when health expenditure comes to a reasonable level. Finally, economy is closely related to birth rate that birth rate approximately increases as GDP per capital decreases. Ethiopian has the lowest level of GDP per capital, and thus has the highest birth rate. To the contrast, Andorran has the highest level of 37,000 GDP per capital while it enjoys the lowest level of birth rate-8.88 birth/ 1000 population.


The amount of catholics in Russia, Greenland and Ethiopian are less than 5% of the population (here isn’t any significant prohibition against birth control), but the birth rate of both Russia and Greenland is lower than Argentine and Mexico when their GDP and other attributes are similar. All the facts lead to the conclusion that prohibition brings little impacts on birth rate. Overall, countries with the aging of population, bad medical care, poor education and low GDP per capital have more possibility of higher birth rate. As all the statistics and analysis indicates, there were roughly no existing behaviors showing the influence of technologically conservative prohibition against birth control among Catholic populations. 

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